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Sunday 20 May 2012

Is Insider Trading Part of the Fabric?

Is Insider Trading Part of the Fabric? Yes.

Is it limited to Lehman Brothers, as so many people would like to make us believe? No.

The fallout of Lehman Brothers is not divine justice making the worst, most greedy, pay the price for its sins. Many other banks were (and still are) just as bad, they were just lucky having a marginally better funding. What people want to ignore is how insignificant the difference was, hence that there is a lot more randomness in the selection of Lehman as the most-known casualty than what leaders want us to believe. Many more large banks would have collapsed by letting the market decide (the same markets everybody pretend they're right and fair-valued "by competition between multiple actors"). Banks continue lobbying right now against regulations forcing them to be properly capitalised and run safely, forcing them to avoid mixing all assets hence making any risk become a systematic risk...

You want some insider information? Lessons have not been learnt. Bank executives actively chose blinding themselves from the consequences of the situation (they created or inherited); they refuse dealing with the consequences of an low-regulated environment, they refuse doing something about it (be it helping designing meaningful regulation, or running their institution with the extra buffers necessary to survive without taxpayer assistance in a wild-west environment). Banks were complaining about hedge funds hammering them during the crisis, because hedge funds selling bank shares was indicating lack of investor confidence, which in turn incentivised rating agencies to downgrade banks, which justified a lower price for any investors (not just the initial hedge funds), etc: a nice down spiral! At the time, obviously banks called it market manipulation, insider trading, and called for short-selling to be limited... Nowadays, they call short-selling "hedging" and it officially reduces the risk of their portfolios and so it should not be limited for them. Until next time, it's against their interests again.

Seriously? And what do voters or their representatives do? Nothing; so,  is Insider Trading Part of the Fabric? Yes. Because nobody wants to fix it. Everybody hopes to get a share of the pie so, even if the pie is poisonous for the environment, nobody wants to remove the pie! That's just plain, community-damaging, world-damaging, short-sighted, personal greed. The most amazing thing for me is that people were legally robbed by their government to fund the dream of a share of pie they will never get in reality; but too few fight back for it to be a revolution. Since we're referring to an article about the U.S.A., do we need to remind people that the richest country (by GDP, 20th by "GDP per head") of the planet also has no less than 12% of its population below its national poverty line? Worse than Syria, and much worse than Lybia!

Friday 11 May 2012

emprunt de gauche, emprunt de droite...

D'après nos chers traders et autres économistes qui n'ont rien vu venir de la crise, "ça paraît normal qu'un pays ne dépense pas plus que ce qu'il a." Sauf que...

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Saturday 3 March 2012

what wealth redistribution in the future?

Once all jobs are performed by robots, and once capitalism and anti-taxes lobbies made the robot producers rich and all others left with nothing, how will we live?

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Saturday 4 February 2012

Fair competition (in capitalistic economies)

If you want to make the world "fair" then you may fight for a change in taxes... or should you vote to stop excluding the talented-but-poor from education?

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Sunday 14 February 2010

short term profits

Wall St. helped Greece to mask debt... Regulation is blocked in Congress... and the population want services for free. Where do you start a reform?

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Thursday 17 December 2009

I kept adding comments to the two entries below

You might want to read them... even if you read the entries in November.

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Saturday 28 November 2009

2009

Governments pledged financial reform. Where is it?

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Saturday 7 November 2009

year end approaching: bonus time?

The (now) Chartered Institute for Securities & Investments has published a "position paper" on the core principles for a bonus policy.

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Tuesday 15 September 2009

G20 - Part VIII: a cap on compensation?

In spite of the outrage, limiting compensation for bankers will be hard. The question is: on which ground do you select the population having compensation cap vs. the population not having them? This is not just a pedantic question.

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Sunday 13 September 2009

G20 - Part VII: reforming capital requirements

Increasing the capital requirements for banks seems a good idea and is favoured by both the U.S. and the U.K. It might be laughable, given "Basel II" is not applied hence previous improvements to capital rules have not been reality-checked yet. The main worry though simply comes from the fact that changing the rules is riskier than it seems.

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Thursday 4 June 2009

European policies

Tú eliges. Te dönthetsz. À vous de choisir. It's your choice.

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Tuesday 19 May 2009

"20 propositions pour réformer le capitalisme" (partie II)

Vive la suite du débat !

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Friday 24 April 2009

"20 propositions pour réformer le capitalisme" (partie I)

Vive le débat !

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Wednesday 15 April 2009

Les ventes à découvert et leur caricature

ou petit rappel sur la valeur d'usage des investissements

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Thursday 19 March 2009

G20 summit - Part VI (the next accounting scandal is on us)

A crisis does not stop existing because you stop reporting it...

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Wednesday 18 March 2009

G20 summit - Part V

The next summit is planned to propose regulatory lessons from the crisis. Ideas took some time to appear in the open, however two recent reports in Europe might constitute a base for future discussion.

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Wednesday 4 March 2009

sommet du G20 - partie IV

Réglementation saine? Plus de réglementation? Réforme des institutions? Le G20 a un problème sérieux: redonner confiance aux marchés par un changement de lois, quand les lois n'ont pas rempli leur rôle.

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Tuesday 3 March 2009

pot pourri

Valuing banks and employees of the financial sector.

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Saturday 14 February 2009

Regulating Credit markets

Different ideas were floated regarding new regulation on Credit markets, notably Credit Default Swaps. A few ideas do not sustain close scrutiny.

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Wednesday 28 January 2009

Ethical management (errare humanum est)

The characters and incidents portrayed and the names used herein are fictitious and any resemblance to the names, character, or history of any person is coincidental and unintentional.

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